Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000114 0.000125 0.000137 0.000151 0.000166 0.000183 0.000202
2025-11-30 0.000093 0.000110 0.000129 0.000153 0.000182 0.000216 0.000259
2025-12-07 0.000081 0.000101 0.000124 0.000156 0.000196 0.000247 0.000317
2025-12-14 0.000070 0.000091 0.000117 0.000153 0.000202 0.000267 0.000361
2025-12-21 0.000061 0.000081 0.000108 0.000147 0.000202 0.000279 0.000394
2025-12-28 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000148 0.000211 0.000302 0.000446
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000073 0.000103 0.000149 0.000220 0.000326 0.000502
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000068 0.000099 0.000147 0.000223 0.000342 0.000546
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000065 0.000097 0.000148 0.000231 0.000364 0.000604
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000061 0.000093 0.000145 0.000233 0.000379 0.000650
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000059 0.000091 0.000145 0.000239 0.000400 0.000708
2026-02-08 0.000036 0.000056 0.000087 0.000143 0.000241 0.000413 0.000755
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000052 0.000083 0.000139 0.000240 0.000423 0.000798
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000050 0.000082 0.000141 0.000250 0.000454 0.000887
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000049 0.000082 0.000144 0.000262 0.000489 0.000991
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000141 0.000263 0.000504 0.001052
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000043 0.000075 0.000136 0.000258 0.000507 0.001089
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000042 0.000074 0.000137 0.000266 0.000535 0.001187
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000041 0.000073 0.000138 0.000274 0.000565 0.001296
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000071 0.000136 0.000275 0.000582 0.001374
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000038 0.000070 0.000136 0.000282 0.000611 0.001488
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000068 0.000134 0.000283 0.000628 0.001571
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000134 0.000289 0.000654 0.001686